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 NewsRSSIMF worsens inflation forecast for Ukraine
14 of November 2017 г.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has retained the forecast for growth of the Ukrainian economy this year at 2%, but worsened the forecast for average annual inflation by 1.3 percentage points, to 12.8%.
This is stated in the Regional Economic Outlook for Europe, according to the Ekonomichna Pravda online newspaper - Ukrinform. "The forecast of GDP growth next year has not changed and remained at 3.2%, in 2019 - 3.5%. The share of investment in GDP will be 21% in 2017, 23.2% in 2018, and 25.1% in 2019. The forecast for inflation in 2018 deteriorated by 0.4 percentage points, to 10%, in 2019 by 0.5 percentage points, to 7%," the report says. At the same time, domestic demand this year, according to forecasts, will grow by 4.1%, in 2018 by 4%, and in 2019 by 4.2%. General government gross debt is projected at 86.2% in 2017, at 83.5% in 2018, and at 77.9% in 2019. Unemployment rate will reach 9.5% this year, 9.3% next year, and 8.8% in 2019. On October 26, the National Bank of Ukraine downgraded the forecast for inflation in 2017 from 9.1% to 12.2%. Financiers predict that inflation in 2018 will be 7.3% (the previous forecast was 6%). The forecast for inflation in 2019 remained unchanged at 5%.
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